Washington, DC – October
2023 / NewsmakerAlert: Gaming
executives remain upbeat about current business conditions with a neutral
outlook on future conditions, according to the American
Gaming Association’s (AGA) Gaming Industry Outlook presented in partnership
with Fitch Ratings.
The
overwhelming majority of gaming executives surveyed view the current business
situation as good (42%) or satisfactory (55%), moderating from Q1 when
62 percent reported good conditions and 35 percent described them as satisfactory.
When asked about future business conditions, more than half expect the
next three to six months to be about the same (58%), with the remainder
almost evenly split between those who anticipate better or worse conditions
(3% net positive).
“The
significant expansion and record demand for legal, regulated gaming in
the post-pandemic era have allowed our members to consistently invest in
our product and people to deliver innovative entertainment options for
American adults,” said AGA President and CEO
Bill Miller. “Gaming CEOs remain focused on delivering world class
entertainment options against the backdrop of broader economic uncertainty.”
Current
Conditions Index
The
Current Conditions Index measured 100.6, reflecting slight growth of 0.6
percent in casino gaming-related economic activity in Q3 2023 relative
Q2 2023. Because gaming revenue and employee wages are adjusted for inflation,
the Current Conditions Index was tempered by persistent high inflation
through Q3 2023.
Future
Conditions Index
The
Future Conditions Index stands at 99.6, indicating annualized industry
economic activity over the next six months is expected to decrease slightly.
This outlook reflects Oxford Economics’ forecast that the U.S. economy
will experience a mild recession beginning in Q4 2023. However, even with
an anticipated slow down in consumer spending, consumer survey results
continue to indicate that more than one-third of adults expect to visit
a casino during the next 12 months, consistent with prior quarter results.
Gaming
Executive Panel
Executive
views on future financial conditions are mixed. On balance, respondents
expect that their overall balance sheet health will improve (26% net positive)
over the next three to six months and that their pace of capital spending
will increase (24% net positive). However, on net, they expect the pace
of revenue growth to decrease (13% net negative responses) and describe
access to credit as somewhat restrictive.
At
the sector level, gaming supplier CEOs broadly expect the pace of unit
sales to increase through the end of the year while many operator CEOs
plan to increase capital investments in their food and beverage offerings.
-
Casino
operators expect gaming units in operation to increase (11% net positive),
while 67 percent expect greater than normal investments in food and beverage
and 33 percent expect greater than normal capital spending on gaming machines.
-
Gaming
equipment manufacturers expect units for new or expansion use to increase
(44% net positive), with an equal share expecting sales of gaming units
for replacement use to increase.
When asked
about top business challenges, 58 percent of executives cited inflation
or interest rate concerns as factors limiting operations, followed by overall
uncertainty of the economic environment (55%).
About
the Outlook
The
AGA
Gaming Industry Outlook is presented in partnership with Fitch Ratings
and prepared biannually by Oxford Economics. It provides a timely measure
of recent industry growth and future expectations. The Q3 2023 survey was
conducted between August 28 – September 6, 2023. A total of 33 executives
responded, including executives at the major international and domestic
gaming companies, tribal gaming operators, single-unit casino operators,
major gaming equipment suppliers, and major iGaming and/or sports betting
operators.
About
the AGA
As
the national trade group representing the U.S. casino industry, the American
Gaming Association (AGA) fosters a policy and business environment
where legal, regulated gaming thrives. The AGA’s diverse membership of
commercial and tribal casino operators, sports betting and iGaming companies,
gaming suppliers, and more lead the $261 billion industry and support 1.8
million jobs across the country. Visit www.AmericanGaming.org
for more information.
Media
Contact:
Christopher
Browne
Director,
Media Relations
202-552-8903
/ 413-636-1336 |